Great Trades

In other commodities, gold has been consolidating around the 1000 level recently, threatening to take out the all-time high of 1,033 from early last year. If it holds the 1000 area and pushes through to new highs, the bull trend will continue, with a target in the 1300 area from the inverse head and shoulders pattern formed since early last year. A breakout in gold should also send silver much higher, with silver needing to more than triple to reach its all-time high. Adjusted for inflation, the all-time highs for both metals is much, much higher.


Since we posted that a week ago, gold has dipped below 990 4 times intraday, including today, only to close above that mark each time. Today's reversal off the morning dip and close above $1000 is very bullish action, and could portend a push to take out the all-time high.

Since Monday's close, the Dow has lost over 300 points, but gold has actually moved higher by over $10, even as the U.S. dollar has moved higher.

As long as the 1000 area holds, the gold action continues to look like a bullish consolidation. Traders can go long in the 1000 area with a well-defined risk using a stop below recent support (mid-980's intraday and 990 closing basis have been the recent support areas in December futures), giving a good risk/reward trading opportunity.